Seasonal Climate Prediction - final report for the CERFACS-EDF project
TABLE OF CONTENTS
General Introduction 8
Part one: Storm tracks and blocking highs 12
Introduction 12
The wintertime ciculation 13
High frequency transients 15
Blocking highs 17
Concluding remarks 20
Figures 22
Part two: Teleconnections 37
Introduction and method 37
Teleconnections in SST and SLH 38
Seasonal teleconnections 40
Conclusions 44
Figures 46
Part three: Altimeter validation 76
Introduction 76
Air-sea interaction 77
The North Atlantic subsurface behaviour 79
Topex/Poseidon altimeter data 80
Coupled model sea level height computation 81
Simple comparison of model and altimeter data 82
Seasonal variations of temperature and sea-level 84
Interannual variations of sea level 86
Concluding remarks 87
Figures 89
Part four: Data assimilation 130
Introduction 130
Initial drift in the tropics and the North Atlantic 132
Global behaviour of the seasonal experiments 134
Concluding remarks 136
Figures 137
Appendix: Ocean data assimilation review 165
General conclusions 178
References 181
Appendix: model description 185
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