Last update : 12/11/2019

Julien BOE

CNRS Researcher
42, avenue Gaspard Coriolis, Toulouse F-31057 Cedex 1, France
E-mail: boe at

Research Interests

    Global and regional climate variability and change, continental hydrological cycle


  • 2019: Habilitation à Diriger des Recherches : "Du début de la période industrielle à la fin du 21ème siècle: 250 ans de variations hydroclimatiques sur la France". Paul Sabatier University, Toulouse III. Link to pdf
  • 2007: Ph.D: Physics of Climate, with L. Terray and F. Habets: "Changement global et cycle hydrologique: Une étude de régionalisation sur la France", University of Toulouse, France Link to pdf
  • 2004: Master degree: Ocean, Atmosphere and Environment, Paul Sabatier University, Toulouse, France
  • 2003: Engineer degree: Hydraulics and Environment, Grenoble Institute of Technology, Grenoble, France

Positions Held

  • 10/2010–present: CNRS Researcher, UMR CECI CNRS/CERFACS, Toulouse, France
  • 02/2008–09/2010: Postdoctoral Researcher, with A. Hall. University of California, Los Angeles: Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, USA

Publications (Submitted or in revison)

  • Qasmi S., E. Sanchez-Gomez, Y. Ruprich-Robert, J. Boé and C. Cassou: Modulation of the occurrence of heat waves over the Euro-mediterranean region by the intensity of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. In revision in Journal of Climate
  • Le Moigne P., F. Besson, E. Martin, J. Boé, B. Decharme, P. Etchevers, S. Faroux, F. Habets, M. Lafaysse, D. J. Leroux and F. Rousset-Regimbeau: The Latest Improvements of the Safran-Isba-Modcou Hydrometeorological Model over France. In revision in Geophysical Model Development

Publications (Published or in press)

  • 2020 - Boé J., S. Somot, L. Corre and P. Nabat: Large discrepancies in summer climate change over Europe as projected by global and regional climate models: causes and consequences. Climate Dynamics, 54,2981–3002, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05153-1 / view-only version
  • 2020 - Boé J., L. Terray, M.-P. Moine, S. Valcke, A. Bellucci, S. Drijfhout, R. Haarsma, K. Lohmann, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, J. Seddon, R. Senan, K. Wyser (2020): Recent summer warming over western Europe in new generation climate models and errors in large-scale circulation trends. In press, Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a89
  • 2020 - Bador M., J. Boé, L. Terray, L.V. Alexander, A. Baker, A. Bellucci, R. Haarsma, T. Koenigk, M.-P. Moine, K. Lohmann, D.A. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, R. Schiemann, J. Seddon, R. Senan, S. Valcke, B. Vannier: Impact of higher spatial atmospheric resolution on precipitation extremes over land in global climate models. In press, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, doi:10.1029/2019JD032184
  • 2020 - Bonnet R., J. Boé and F. Habets: Influence of multidecadal hydroclimate variations on hydrological extremes: the case of the Seine basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 1611–1631, doi:10.5194/hess-24-1611-2020
  • 2020 - Qasmi S., C. Cassou and J. Boé: Teleconnection processes linking the intensity of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability to the climate impacts over Europe in boreal winter. Journal of Climate, 33 (7): 2681–2700, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0428.1

  • 2019 - Flipo N., N. Gallois, B. Labarthe, F. Baratelli, P. Viennot, J. Schuite, A. Rivière, R. Bonnet, J. Boé: Pluri-annual water budget on the Seine basin : past, current and future trends. In Flipo N., Labadie P., Lestel L. The Seine River Basin, Springer, Handbook of environmental chemistry, doi:10.1007/698_2019_3929

  • 2018 - Boé J.: Interdependency in multi-model climate projections: component replication and result similarity. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(6), 2771-2779, doi:10.1002/2017GL076829
  • 2018 - Ben-Ari T., J. Boé, P. Ciais, R. Lecerf, M. Van der Velde and D. Makowski: Causes and implications of the unforeseen 2016 extreme yield loss in Europe’s breadbasket. Nature Communication, 9, 1627,
  • 2018 - Dayon G., J Boé, E. Martin and J. Gailhard: Impacts of climate change on the hydrological cycle over France and associated uncertainties. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 350(4), 141-153,

  • 2017 - Bonnet R., J. Boé, G. Dayon and E. Martin: 20th century hydro-meteorological reconstructions to study the multi-decadal variations of the water cycle over France. Water Resources Research, 53, 8366–8382
  • 2017 - Qasmi S., Cassou C. and J. Boé: Teleconnection between Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and European temperature: diversity and evaluation of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 11,140–11,149
  • 2017 - Bador M., L. Terray, J. Boé, S. Somot, A. Alias, A.-L. Gibelin and B. Dubuisson: Future summer mega-heatwave and record-breaking temperatures in a warmer France climate. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 074025

  • 2016 - Boé J.: Modulation of the summer hydrological cycle evolution over western Europe by anthropogenic aerosols and soil-atmosphere interactions. Geophysical Research Letters 43, 7678-7685
  • 2016 - Monerie P.-A., E. Sanchez-Gomez and J. Boé: On the range of future Sahel precipitation projections and the selection of a sub-sample of CMIP5 models for impact studies. Climate Dynamics, 48(7-8), 2751–2770
  • 2016 - Bador M., L. Terray and J. Boé: Emergence of human influence on summer record-breaking temperatures over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 404-412
  • 2016 - Bador M., L. Terray and J. Boé: Detection of anthropogenic influence on the evolution of record-breaking temperatures over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 46(9), 2717-2735
  • 2016 - Piazza M., L. Terray, J. Boé, E. Maisonnave and E. Sanchez-Gomez: Influence of small-scale North Atlantic sea surface temperature patterns on the marine boundary layer and free troposphere:a study using the atmospheric ARPEGE model. Climate Dynamics, 46(5), 1699-1717

  • 2015 - Boé J. and L. Terray: Can metric-based approaches really improve multi-model climate projections? The case of summer temperature change in France. Climate Dynamics, 45(7), 1913-1928
  • 2015 - Dayon G., J. Boé and E. Martin: Transferability in the future climate of a statistical downscaling method for precipitation in France. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 120, 1023–1043

  • 2014 - Boé J. and F. Habets: Multi-decadal river flows variations in France. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 691-708
  • 2014 - Boé J. and L. Terray: Land-sea contrast, soil-atmopshere interactions and cloud-temperature interactions: interplays and roles in future summer Europea climate change. Climate Dynamics, 42(3-4), 683-699

  • 2013 - Habets F., J. Boé, M. Déqué, A. Ducharne, S. Gascoin, A. Hachour, E. Martin, C. Pagé, E. Sauquet, L. Terray, D. Thiéry, L. Oudin and P. Viennot: Impact of climate change on the hydrogeology of two basins in northern France. Climatic change, 121, 771-785
  • 2013 - Terray L. and J. Boé: Quantifying 21st-century France climate change and related uncertainties. C. R. Geosci., 345, 136-149
  • 2013 - Boé J.: Modulation of soil moisture-precipitation interactions over France by large scale circulation. Climate Dynamics, 40(3-4), 875-892

  • 2012 - Cheaib A, V. Badeau, J. Boé, I. Chuine, C. Delire, E. Dufrêne, C. François, E.S. Gritti, M. Legay, C. Pagé, W. Thuiller, N. Viovy and P. Leadley: Climate change impacts on tree ranges: model intercomparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty. Ecology Letters, 15, 533–544.

  • 2011 - Boé J, A. Hall, F. Colas, J.C. McWilliams, X. Qu, et al.: What shapes mesoscale wind anomalies in coastal upwelling zones? Climate Dynamics, 36(11-12), 2037-2049
  • 2011 - Qu X, A. Hall, J. Boé: Why does the Antarctic Peninsula Warm in climate simulations? Climate Dynamics,online first, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1092-3
  • 2011 - Pavelsky T, Boé J., Hall A and Fetzer E: Atmospheric Inversion Strength over Polar Oceans in Winter Regulated by Sea Ice, Climate Dynamics, 36(5-6), 945-955

  • 2010 - Boé J.., A. Hall and X. Qu: Sources of spread in simulations of Arctic sea ice loss over the 21st century. Climatic Change, 99(3-4), 637-645
  • 2010 - Boé J.., Cassou C., Terray L., Parey S., Dubus L.: Link between large scale atmospheric circulation and heat waves for seasonal forecasting and climate change impact studies. Houille Blanche-Revue International de l'eau, 4, 67-71, DOI/10.1051/LHB/2010043
  • 2010 - Quintana Segui P., A. Ribes, E. Martin, F. Habets, and J. Boé: Comparison of three downscaling methods in simulating the impact of climate change on the hydrology of Mediterranean basins , Journal of Hydrology, 383(1-2), 111-124, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.09.050

  • 2009 - Boé J., A. Hall and X. Qu: Deep ocean heat uptake as a major source of spread in transient climate change simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 36(22), 1-5, doi:10.1029/2009GL040845
  • 2009 - Boé J., L. Terray, E. Martin and F. Habets: Changes in components of the hydrological cycle in French river basins during the 21st century. Water Resources Research, 45, W08426, doi:10.1029/2008WR007437
  • 2009 - Boé J., A. Hall and X. Qu: Current GCMs' unrealistic negative feedback in the Arctic. Journal of Climate, 22, 4682-4695.
  • 2009 - Boé J., A. Hall and X. Qu: September sea ice cover in the Arctic ocean projected to vanish by 2100, Nature Geoscience, 2,341-343,doi10.1038/NGEO467
  • 2009 - Delpierre N., E. Dufrêne, K. Soudani, E. Ulrich, S. Cecchini, J. Boé and C. François: Modelling interannual and spatial variability of leaf senescence for three deciduous tree species in France. Agricultural and Forest meteorology, 149(6-7), 938-948, doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2008.11.014
  • 2009 - Boé J., L. Terray, C. Cassou and J. Najac: Uncertainties in European summer precipitation changes: role of large scale circulation. Climate Dynamics, 2009, 33(2-3), 265-276, doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0474-7
  • 2009 - Najac J., J. Boé, L. Terray: A multi-model ensemble approach for assessment of climate change impact on surface winds in France. Climate Dynamics, 32(5), 615-634, doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0440-4

  • 2008 - Boé J. and L. Terray : Uncertainties in summer evapotranspiration changes over Europe and implications for regional climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L05702, doi:10.1029/2007GL032417
  • 2008 - Boé J. and L. Terray: A weather type approach to analysing winter precipitation in France : twentieth century trends and role of anthropogenic forcing. Journal of Climate, 21(13), 3118–3133.
  • 2008 - Boé J. and L. Terray: Régimes de temps et désagrégation d’échelle. Houille Blanche-Revue International de l'eau, 2, doi:10.1051/lhb:2008016

  • 2007 - Boé J., L. Terray, F. Habets and E. Martin: Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies. International Journal of Climatology, 27(12), 1643-1655, doi :10.1002/joc.1602

  • 2006 - Boé J., L. Terray, F. Habets and E. Martin: A simple statistical-dynamical downscaling scheme based on weather types and conditional resampling. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111, D23106, doi :10.1029/2005JD006889